Match Info

K3 League - Round 9

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Paju Frontier		Chuncheon

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.2
	2.11	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.34	2.65	3.33
	2.21	3.06	3.24	Watch
	2.16	3.08	3.21
	2.11	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2)	3 ↓ (3.3)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
41.5%

Draw
30.3%

Chuncheon
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Chuncheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Paju Frontier - Chuncheon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Han Seok-Hee ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)

Paju Citizen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chuncheon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chuncheon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paju Citizen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
11.05.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gangneung - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLLT
- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
10.05.25	Chuncheon - Gangneung	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Gimhae - Chuncheon	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Chuncheon - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Chuncheon - Jeonbuk 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.11.24	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:0
21.06.24	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	1:1
09.09.23	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	1:0
17.05.23	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:1
South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	1:2

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