Match Info

K3 League - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Paju Frontier		Yangpyeong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.85
	2.58	2.88	2.72	Watch
	2.85	2.83	2.78
				Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.59	2.97	2.58
	2.31	3.13	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.38)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
35.8%

Draw
31.2%

Yangpyeong
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Yangpyeong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangpyeong than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Paju Frontier - Yangpyeong Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yangpyeong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kwak Rae-Seung ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).

Paju Citizen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yangpyeong is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Paju Citizen has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
06.07.25	Paju Frontier - Pocheon	0:4 ✺
29.06.25	Paju Frontier - Siheung	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW
- Yangpyeong FC
South Korean K3 League
06.07.25	Gangneung - Yangpyeong	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	Yangpyeong - Gimhae	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Daejeon Korail - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Yangpyeong - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Yangpyeong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
15.03.25	Yangpyeong - Paju Frontier	3:1
15.09.24	Yangpyeong - Paju Frontier	0:1
18.05.24	Paju Frontier - Yangpyeong	1:1
23.09.23	Yangpyeong - Paju Frontier	1:1
28.05.23	Paju Frontier - Yangpyeong	4:2

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