Match Info

K3 League - Round 13

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Paju Frontier		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
				Watch
	2.47	3.24	2.86
				Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.73
	2.4	3	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.74 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
37.8%

Draw
29.3%

Busan Kyotong
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paju Frontier's form might have worsened.

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Busan Kyotong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paju Frontier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Busan Kyotong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Busan Kyotong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Busan Kyotong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
31.05.25	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Changwon City - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gangneung - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLTT
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
06.06.25	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	5:1 ✺
23.05.25	Daejeon Korail - Busan Kyotong	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
31.08.24	Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong	1:2
04.05.24	Busan Kyotong - Paju Frontier	1:3
09.07.23	Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong	0:1
26.03.23	Busan Kyotong - Paju Frontier	0:1
13.08.22	Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong	1:1
17.04.22	Busan Kyotong - Paju Frontier	0:0
13.11.21	Busan Kyotong - Paju Frontier	1:2

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