Match Info

K3 League - Round 16

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Paju Frontier		Pocheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.15
	3.3	2.92	2.15	Watch
	3.59	3	2.19
				Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.15
	3.33	3.04	2.13	Watch
	3.05	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.95)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
27.4%

Draw
30.4%

Pocheon
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pocheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Paju Frontier - Pocheon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 3.

In recent matches, Paju Citizen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pocheon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pocheon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
29.06.25	Paju Frontier - Siheung	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Changwon City - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWW
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
29.06.25	Pocheon - Gangneung	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Gimhae - Pocheon	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Pocheon - Daejeon Korail	2:6 ✺
06.06.25	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Pocheon - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
01.03.25	Pocheon - Paju Frontier	3:0
19.10.24	Pocheon - Paju Frontier	1:2
08.09.24	Paju Frontier - Pocheon	3:1
22.07.23	Paju Frontier - Pocheon	3:1
08.04.23	Pocheon - Paju Frontier	1:0
25.06.22	Pocheon - Paju Frontier	2:2
12.03.22	Paju Frontier - Pocheon	2:1

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