Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Paju Frontier		Yeoju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	2.01	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.08	3.47	3.4
	2.02	3.38	3.36	Watch
	1.99	3.24	3.86	Watch
	2.01	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.75)	3.27 ↑ (2.88)	3.47 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
45.5%

Draw
28.1%

Yeoju
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paju Frontier's performance.

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeoju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paju Frontier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeoju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Paju Frontier - Yeoju Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paju Frontier will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Paju Frontier (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Paju Frontier (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Paju Frontier (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
61', 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Yeoju has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Paju Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
25.05.25	Changwon City - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gangneung - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTTL
- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
24.05.25	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Yeoju - Gimhae	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Yeoju - Jeonbuk 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
22.09.24	Yeoju - Paju Frontier	0:0
25.05.24	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	1:0

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