Match Info

K3 League - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Mokpo City		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
				Watch
	3	3.32	2.33
				Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.5
	2.6	3.1	2.48
	3.05	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	2.37 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mokpo City
32.9%

Draw
28.8%

Paju Frontier
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paju Frontier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mokpo City - Paju Frontier Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mokpo City (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mokpo City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 1, Park J. ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, Kim Y. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 3.

Mokpo City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Paju Citizen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mokpo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mokpo City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
14.06.25	Gangneung - Mokpo City	3:1 ✺
08.06.25	Mokpo City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	3:2 ✺
23.05.25	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Mokpo City - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLT
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
15.06.25	Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Paju Frontier - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Changwon City - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
29.09.24	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	1:0
02.06.24	Paju Frontier - Mokpo City	0:1
11.11.23	Paju Frontier - Mokpo City	0:1
18.06.23	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:0
17.07.22	Paju Frontier - Mokpo City	1:0
02.04.22	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:0
28.08.21	Paju Frontier - Mokpo City	0:1

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