Match Info

NB I. - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Referee: Csonka B. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Paksi SE		Zalaegerszegi TE

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.6
	1.92	3.6	3.4
	1.93	3.81	3.71
	2	3.72	3.4	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.56	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)	3.65 ↓ (3.69)	3.54 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
48.5%

Draw
25.4%

Zalaegerszegi TE
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Zalaegerszegi TE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zalaegerszegi TE than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). ZTE will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - ZTE (3.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ZTE (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 24. Lenzser B. 30. Szabo J. (C) 5. Vecsei B. 11. Bevardi Z. 22. Windecker J. 21. Papp K. 20. Zeke M. 19. Horvath K. 29. Toth B. 9. Hahn J.	1. Gundel-Takacs B. (G) 8. Csonka A. 55. Victory A. 5. Varkonyi B. 18. Calderon J. 17. Guilherme Teixeira 30. Amato F. 11. Szendrei N. (C) 7. Skribek A. 70. Joao Victor 23. Maxsuell Alegria
Substitutes
3. Alaxai A. 13. Bode D. 28. Gyetvan M. (G) 18. Gyurkits G. 17. Hinora K. 23. Mate C. 14. Silye E. 26. Szekszardi M. 15. Szendrei A.	32. Alfonso L. 73. Bitca S. 9. Daniel Lima 33. Diogo Antonio 15. Elosu N. 99. Garai Z. 2. Harangi A. 12. Lopez D. 31. Mauricio Z. (G) 19. Petrok V. 47. Tchicamboud Q. 3. Vera F.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Campos N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Papp K. 🟨,
28', Szabo J. 🟨,
45+1', Varkonyi B. 🟥,
45+1', 1 - 0, Hahn J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guilherme Teixeira ↓, Diogo Antonio ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽,
62', Windecker J. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
62', Hahn J. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
64', Maxsuell Alegria 🟨,
75', Maxsuell Alegria ↓, Daniel Lima ↑,
80', Horvath K. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
80', Zeke M. ↓, Silye E. ↑,
84', Skribek A. ↓, Alfonso L. ↑,
90', Joao Victor ↓, Tchicamboud Q. ↑,
90+3', Papp K. ↓, Alaxai A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 1.

Paks has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

ZTE is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, ZTE has had a series of home games.

Paks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:37. (average 2.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:14. (average 2.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11
11	Zalaegerszegi	8	2	0	6	7:17	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
07.03.26	Ujpest - Paksi SE	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	1:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungarian NB I
07.03.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Győri ETO	2:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
04.03.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Soroksár	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
28.02.26	Diósgyőri - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Debreceni	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvárosi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
29.11.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	1:0
17.08.25	Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE	2:2
Hungarian Cup
22.04.25	Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE	2:1
Hungarian NB I
29.03.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	1:1
24.11.24	Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE	2:2
10.08.24	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	3:1
11.05.24	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	1:1

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