Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 29Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday
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Palencia CA |
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Almazán |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.65 |
3.2 |
4.95 |
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1.62 |
3.43 |
5.45 |
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1.65 |
3.1 |
5.5 |
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1.59 |
3.34 |
5.76 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (1.67) |
3.27 ↑ (3.18) |
5.42 ↑ (5.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Palencia CA 55.6% | Draw 27.7% | Almazán 16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Almazán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Palencia CA - Almazán Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Jimenez H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 64', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 68', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 68', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 7)Palencia CA is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Almazán is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Palencia CA is considered a favorite.We predict that Palencia CA will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).Including home matches between the teams, Palencia CA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Palencia CA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
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| 9 | Almazan | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 23.11.25 | Almazán - Palencia CA | 1:1 | | 17.11.24 | Palencia CA - Almazán | 3:2 | | 31.03.24 | Palencia CA - Almazán | 0:1 | | 12.11.23 | Almazán - Palencia CA | 0:2 |
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