Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)


	Palermo		Lommel

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.1
	1.62	4.2	4.5
	1.63	4.01	4.55
	1.74	4.1	3.76
	1.64	4.3	4.84	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	4.1 ↓ (4.25)	4.43 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
56.5%

Draw
22.6%

Lommel
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palermo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Palermo - Lommel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 31. Aurelio G. 32. Ceccaroni P. 80. Coulibaly M. 10. Di Mariano F. 2. Graves S. 53. Henderson L. 15. Marconi I. 27. Soleri E. 6. Stulac L. 70. Traore C.	12. Di Bartolo F. (G) 2. Aguilar K. 19. Arthur Sales 79. De Grand S. 24. Gordic D. 23. Granell A. 64. Letsosa T. 34. Oware H. 21. Santos A. 15. Schoofs L. 5. Wouters D.
Substitutes
35. Bouah E. 9. Brunori M. 17. Di Francesco F. 36. Fontana F. 33. Gallea F. 4. Gomes C. 34. Granicelli S. 13. Kanuric A. (G) 38. Kubi M. 39. La Mantia S. 7. Mancuso L. 12. Nespola M. (G) 8. Segre J.	11. Ahmed Fatah A. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 48. Cicero L. 20. De Busser J. (G) 7. Henkens R. . Weckmann H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Di Francesco F. ⚽,
76', 2 - 0, Gomes C. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Ahmed Fatah A. ⚽,

Preview

Palermo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lommel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lommel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
15.03.24	Palermo - Venezia	0:3 ✺
10.03.24	Lecco - Palermo	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Brescia - Palermo	4:2 ✺
27.02.24	Palermo - Ternana	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Cremonese - Palermo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLT
- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.03.24	Lommel - Anderlecht U23	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Francs Borains - Lommel	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Lommel - RFC Liège	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Lommel - Oostende	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWTL

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