Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Palermo		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.7
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.39	4.02
	1.99	3.43	3.91	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.7
	1.97	3.44	3.84	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.02)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
47.1%

Draw
27.7%

Salernitana
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Palermo - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Desplanches S. (G) 23. Diakite S. 4. Baniya R. 43. Nikolaou D. 3. Lund K. 6. Gomes C. 21. Le Douaron J. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 7. Di Mariano F. 9. Brunori M. (C)	55. Sepe L. (C) 30. Stojanovic P. 15. Bronn D. 33. Ferrari G. M. 17. Njoh L. 70. Tello A. 73. Amatucci L. 21. Soriano R. 31. Verde D. 9. Simy 24. Braaf J.
Substitutes
19. Appuah S. 25. Buttaro A. 32. Ceccaroni P. 17. Di Francesco F. 20. Henry T. 11. Insigne R. 18. Nedelcearu I. 29. Peda P. 30. Saric D. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 14. Vasic A. 26. Verre V.	12. Corriere F. (G) 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 2. Gentile D. 29. Ghiglione P. 8. Hrustic A. 44. Jaroszynski P. 11. Kallon Y. 13. Ruggeri F. 77. Sfait A. 10. Torregrossa E. 4. Velthuis T. 20. Wlodarczyk S.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Martusciello G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Soriano R. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Tello A. ⚽, Ferrari G. M. (A),
34', Segre J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Segre J. ↓, Saric D. ↑,
46', Le Douaron J. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
60', Verde D. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
60', Soriano R. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
63', Ranocchia F. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
64', Brunori M. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
69', Amatucci L. 🟨,
75', Di Mariano F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
79', Braaf J. 🟨,
82', Braaf J. ↓, Jaroszynski P. ↑,
82', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
85', Stojanovic P. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
88', Henry T. 🟨,
90+2', Hrustic A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Recent matches Palermo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
30.09.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
26.09.24	Napoli - Palermo	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Palermo - Cesena	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Juve Stabia - Palermo	1:3 ✺
01.09.24	Palermo - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
29.09.24	Salernitana - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.24	Udinese - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Reggiana - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Salernitana - Pisa	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Mantova - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.01.19	Palermo - Salernitana	1:2
25.08.18	Salernitana - Palermo	0:0
18.05.18	Salernitana - Palermo	0:2
28.12.17	Palermo - Salernitana	3:0

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