Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Palermo		Cesena

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.66	4.14	5.44
	1.6	4.25	4.91	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.63	3.9	5.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.99 ↑ (3.77)	5.15 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
58.1%

Draw
23.6%

Cesena
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Cesena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palermo - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 18. Modesto R. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 21. Le Douaron J. 5. Palumbo A. 20. Pohjanpalo J.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 26. Piacentini M. 27. Corazza T. 4. Castagnetti M. 25. Bisoli D. 9. Shpendi C. 14. Berti T. 32. Olivieri M. 7. Cerri A.
Substitutes
19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 31. Corona G. 77. Di Bartolo F. (G) 17. Giovane S. 11. Gyasi E. 66. Joronen J. (G) 96. Magnani G. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.	16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 8. Castrovilli G. 11. Ciervo R. 99. Frabotta G. 70. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 24. Mangraviti M. 1. Siano A. (G) 22. Vrioni G. 17. Wade I.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Cole A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Le Douaron J. (A),
41', Cerri A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Modesto R. (A),
72', Corazza T. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
72', Castagnetti M. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
72', Cerri A. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
74', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
74', Le Douaron J. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
78', Olivieri M. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
80', Segre J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
80', Modesto R. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
88', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
90', Berti T. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Palermo: Corona G. (Inactive) Johnsen D. (Inactive) Peda P. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Palermo: Pierozzi N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cesena: Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Cerri A. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	14:7	7	16
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
10.04.26	Frosinone - Palermo	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Palermo - Avellino	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Padova - Palermo	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Palermo - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Monza - Palermo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWTL
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
11.04.26	Juve Stabia - Cesena	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cesena - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Mantova - Cesena	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cesena - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.09.25	Cesena - Palermo	1:1
04.05.25	Cesena - Palermo	2:1
21.09.24	Palermo - Cesena	0:0
12.05.18	Palermo - Cesena	0:0
21.12.17	Cesena - Palermo	1:1
Italian Serie A
08.03.15	Cesena - Palermo	0:0
19.10.14	Palermo - Cesena	2:1

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