Match Info

ITALY: Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV, TSN 3
Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Italy	20 Mediaset, Infinity+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, El Canal del Futbol app


	Udinese		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	7	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.75
	1.5	4.4	6.3	Watch
	1.52	4.34	6.57
	1.5	4.29	5.98	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.49	4.25	6.3	Watch
	1.52	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.28 ↑ (3.85)	6.3 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
63%

Draw
22%

Salernitana
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

22.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Udinese - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: Udinese will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Sava R. (G) 4. Abankwah J. 29. Bijol J. (C) 95. Toure I. 77. Modesto R. 8. Lovric S. 6. Zarraga O. 5. Payero M. 33. Zemura J. 21. Bravo I. 17. Lucca L.	1. Fiorillo V. (C) 29. Ghiglione P. 13. Ruggeri F. 4. Velthuis T. 44. Jaroszynski P. 8. Hrustic A. 21. Soriano R. 70. Tello A. 11. Kallon Y. 9. Simy 23. Dalmonte N.
Substitutes
14. Atta A. 22. Brenner 9. Davis K. 23. Ebosse E. 19. Ehizibue K. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 27. Kabasele C. 25. Karlstrom J. 40. Okoye M. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 16. Palma M. 10. Thauvin F.	73. Amatucci L. 24. Braaf J. 15. Bronn D. 12. Corriere F. (G) 33. Ferrari G. M. 2. Gentile D. 25. Maggiore G. 17. Njoh L. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 30. Stojanovic P. 10. Torregrossa E. 31. Verde D. 20. Wlodarczyk S.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Martusciello G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Bijol J. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Simy ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
43', Velthuis T. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Lucca L. (Pen),
44', Payero M. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 3 - 1, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽, Modesto R. (A),
54', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
55', Hrustic A. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
55', Dalmonte N. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
60', Lucca L. ↓, Davis K. ↑,
60', Lovric S. ↓, Atta A. ↑,
65', Soriano R. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
75', Kallon Y. ↓, Braaf J. ↑,
75', Simy ↓, Amatucci L. ↑,
77', Davis K. 🟨,
79', Tello A. 🟨,
84', Torregrossa E. (Pen),
85', Toure I. ↓, Ebosse E. ↑,
85', Abankwah J. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
90+1', Bijol J. 🟨,
90+7', Maggiore G. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 1.

Udinese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Udinese is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Udinese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Roma - Udinese	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	Parma - Udinese	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Udinese - Como	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Udinese - Lazio	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWWT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Reggiana - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Salernitana - Pisa	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Mantova - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
27.08.24	Salernitana - Sampdoria	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Salernitana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.03.24	Udinese - Salernitana	1:1
28.08.23	Salernitana - Udinese	1:1
27.05.23	Salernitana - Udinese	3:2
20.08.22	Udinese - Salernitana	0:0
22.05.22	Salernitana - Udinese	0:4
20.04.22	Udinese - Salernitana	0:1

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