Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)


	Palestino		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	7.5
	1.57	3.8	4.5
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.4	4.3	6.76
	1.42	4.27	6.62
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.38	4.33	7.09
	1.39	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	4.23 ↑ (3.86)	6.78 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
64.9%

Draw
21.6%

Barnechea
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palestino's performance.

Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnechea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Palestino - Barnechea Predictions

Users Predictions: Palestino will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, Martinez Arce A. E. ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, Linares N. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.

Recent matches Palestino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnechea is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.

In this match Palestino is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Cup
23.06.24	Barnechea - Palestino	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Santiago City - Palestino	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
06.06.24	Coquimbo Unido - Palestino	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Audax Italiano - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.24	Bolívar - Palestino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWL
- Barnechea
Chilean Cup
23.06.24	Barnechea - Palestino	3:2 ✺
17.06.24	Barnechea - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.06.24	Deportes Limache - Barnechea	2:2 ✺
27.05.24	Barnechea - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Deportes Temuco - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
23.06.24	Barnechea - Palestino	3:2
27.06.21	Palestino - Barnechea	5:2
22.06.21	Barnechea - Palestino	0:2
Chilean Primera Division
30.04.15	Barnechea - Palestino	2:1
07.12.14	Palestino - Barnechea	2:0

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