The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeira FC 12.2%
Draw 22.9%
Santa Cruz de Natal 64.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.9%
21.3%
63.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.6%
17.9%
75.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeira FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Santa Cruz de Natal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeira FC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Potiguar (Second stage ~ Play Offs)).
Palmeira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Santa Cruz de Natal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Santa Cruz de Natal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Santa Cruz de Natal is certain favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Palmeira won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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