Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 12

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Palmeiras U20		Vitória U20

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.35	8.1
	1.27	5.98	8.64
	1.28	5.61	7.97	Watch
	1.25	5	8
	1.3	5.48	7.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	5.48 ↑ (5.33)	8.11 ↑ (7.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras U20
72.1%

Draw
16.7%

Vitória U20
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

17.2%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

17.8%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vitória U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)

Palmeiras U20 - Vitória U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Andre Lucas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Hiago Costa ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 4.

Palmeiras U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vitória U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Palmeiras U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:10. (average 2.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 3.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras U20
Brasileiro U20
12.05.26	Palmeiras U20 - Avaí U20	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:3 ✺
28.04.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Palmeiras U20 - Juventude U20	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Palmeiras U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWTT
- EC Vitória Salvador U20
Brasileiro U20
12.05.26	Vitória U20 - Grêmio U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
09.05.26	Bahia de Feira U20 - Vitória U20	2:5 ✺
Brasileiro U20
06.05.26	Vitória U20 - Cuiabá U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
02.05.26	Jacuipense U20 - Vitória U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
29.04.26	Avaí U20 - Vitória U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
13.01.26	Palmeiras U20 - Vitória U20	4:3 penalties
Brasileiro U20
04.10.20	Palmeiras U20 - Vitória U20	2:0
09.10.19	Vitória U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:0
Brazilian Copinha
11.01.19	Palmeiras U20 - Vitória U20	3:0
Brasileiro U20
25.10.18	Palmeiras U20 - Vitória U20	5:2
18.10.18	Vitória U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:4
29.08.18	Palmeiras U20 - Vitória U20	2:0

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