Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 27

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Location: CCM Kirumba Stadium (Mwanza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Pamba		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.40	4.75
	1.65	3.41	4.67
	1.66	3.52	5.00	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.60
	1.62	3.44	5.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.6)	3.4 ↑ (3.37)	4.84 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamba
54.8%

Draw
26.5%

Mtibwa Sugar
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.6%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mtibwa Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pamba - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pamba will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Tegisi M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Oyugi Siwa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 3 - 0, Tegisi M. ⚽,
48', 4 - 0, Tegisi M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Pamba is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pamba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pamba	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.06.26	Simba - Pamba	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Pamba - Prisons	2:3 ✺
20.05.26	Kinondoni MC - Pamba	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Azam - Pamba	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Pamba - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLT
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
13.06.26	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
20.05.26	TRA United - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Kinondoni MC	4:3 ✺
09.05.26	Singida Black Stars - Mtibwa Sugar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
25.01.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba	1:0

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