Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Pamplona		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.82	2.25
	3.51	2.42	2.49
	3.5	2.54	2.46
	3.3	2.73	2.31
	3.6	2.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.54)	2.58 ↑ (2.44)	2.39 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pamplona
26.6%

Draw
35.3%

Peña Sport
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

37.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

37.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamplona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pamplona than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Pamplona - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Peña Sport might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pamplona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pamplona	5	0	4	1	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Pamplona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.01.26	Egüés - Pamplona	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Huarte - Pamplona	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Pamplona - Cortes	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Oberena - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Pamplona - Izarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTW
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.01.26	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Peña Sport - Artajonés	5:2 ✺
04.01.26	Subiza - Peña Sport	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Peña Sport - San Juan	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Beti Onak - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
12.09.25	Peña Sport - Pamplona	2:1
26.04.25	Peña Sport - Pamplona	3:1
14.12.24	Pamplona - Peña Sport	0:4
15.03.24	Peña Sport - Pamplona	1:1
28.10.23	Pamplona - Peña Sport	1:2
05.02.23	Peña Sport - Pamplona	2:1
05.01.19	Pamplona - Peña Sport	0:2

Upcoming Matches