Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	ANT1 Satellite


	Panathinaikos		Atromitos Athens

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	9.5	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.5
	1.3	5.4	10
	1.28	5.57	11.31
	1.45	3.46	11.01	Watch
	1.31	5.3	8.6	Watch
	1.42	4.15	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	4.88 ↑ (3.83)	9.03 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
70.1%

Draw
19.4%

Atromitos Athens
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

24%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panathinaikos's performance.

Atromitos Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panathinaikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Panathinaikos (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Panathinaikos (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Panathinaikos (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lafont A. (G) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. 5. Touba A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 10. Tete 4. Chirivella P. 8. Sanches R. 31. Djuricic F. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 19. Swiderski K.	1. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 12. Mountes M. 4. Stavropoulos D. 70. Mansur 21. Uronen J. 92. Moutoussamy S. 6. Karamanis A. 19. Tsantilas P. 8. Michorl P. 32. Baku M. 99. Tzovaras G. (C)
Substitutes
39. Bokos I. G. 69. Dragowski B. (G) 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 29. Jeremejeff A. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 25. Mladenovic F. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 72. Pantovic M. 6. Siopis M. 20. Taborda V. 9. Zaroury A.	20. Ampartzidis S. 30. Athanasiou V. (G) 33. Batos K. 26. Garcia A. 11. Jubitana D. 55. Koselev A. (G) 7. Ozegovic O. 10. Palmezano B. 16. Papadopoulos G. 44. Tsakmakis D. 5. Tsingaras T. 9. van Weert T.
Coaches
Kontis C.	Vokolos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Sanches R. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Gnezda Cerin A. ⚽, Bakasetas A. (A),
53', Uronen J. ↓, Papadopoulos G. ↑,
58', Mansur 🟨,
63', Tsantilas P. ↓, Ozegovic O. ↑,
63', Karamanis A. ↓, Tsingaras T. ↑,
74', Tzovaras G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
74', Michorl P. ↓, Jubitana D. ↑,
80', Swiderski K. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
87', Chirivella P. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
88', Djuricic F. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
90+6', Garcia A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 3.

Panathinaikos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atromitos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atromitos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Panathinaikos is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C. (Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Pellistri F. (Knock)

There will not play in Atromitos: Tsiloulis S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Panathinaikos - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
28.09.25	Panetolikos - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Young Boys - Panathinaikos	1:4 ✺
Greek Super League
21.09.25	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Panathinaikos - Athens Kallithea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWTW
- Atromitos Athens
Greek Super League
29.09.25	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
24.09.25	Volos - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
20.09.25	Panserraikos - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Atromitos Athens - Ellas Syros	4:2 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.25	Atromitos Athens - Aris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
09.03.25	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:1
Greek Cup
08.01.25	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	2:1
04.12.24	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:2
Greek Super League
01.12.24	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	1:1
Greek Cup
31.01.24	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	0:2
24.01.24	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	1:2
Greek Super League
17.12.23	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	3:2

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