Match Info

I Lyga - Round 18

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Panevėžys 2		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.1	1.46
	4.1	3.9	1.62	Watch
	4.08	3.88	1.66
	2.72	3.53	2.29	Watch
	4.61	3.95	1.59
	3.85	3.62	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (4.04)	3.83 ↑ (3.78)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
22.4%

Draw
23.9%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.8%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

23.6%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Panevėžys 2 (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panevėžys 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Valius L. (G) 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 19. Fedoruk B. 97. Karvatskyi A. 2. Klimavicius L. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 21. Pusnys M. 9. Steponavicius F. 5. van den Bos M.	1. Juska L. (G) 4. Aderounmu K. 15. Bawa M. 17. Fujiyoshi M. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 14. Gritkus E. 7. Horikoshi T. 5. Kazbaras M. 23. Mantinis K. 71. Seki K. 20. Srederis N.
Substitutes
13. Bukel D. (G) 25. Jusys A. 77. Laimikis L. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 22. Muraska G. 30. Slobodian A.	8. Andriejauskas A. 21. Balde U. 10. Funami Y. 33. Lopez K. (G) 9. Najulis K. 30. Patella S. R. 6. Pilipavicius A. 2. Stasys M. 3. Ugochukwu Ihekuna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, ⚽,
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
79', 🟥,
79', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atmosfera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atmosfera is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Panevėžys 2 - Tauras Tauragė	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - Neptūnas	2:5 ✺
22.06.25	Babrungas Plungė - Panevėžys 2	4:2 ✺
17.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLLW
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
27.07.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:2 ✺
22.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	BFA Vilnius - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Ekranas	5:0 ✺
17.06.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Jonava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
29.03.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	1:4
20.09.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	1:2
03.05.24	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2
03.09.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	1:2
01.05.22	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:3
22.08.21	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2
23.04.21	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	3:0

Upcoming Matches