Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Panevėžys 2		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10.5	5.75	1.2
	8.19	5.7	1.23
				Watch
	11.2	5.6	1.2
	6	4.9	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.97 ↑ (6.24)	5.49 ↑ (5)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
10.1%

Draw
16.6%

Neptūnas
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

17.4%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Panevėžys 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bukel D. (G) 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 97. Karvatskyi A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 18. Puikis E. 21. Pusnys M. 30. Slobodian A. 16. Sonkevicius K.	1. Agalarov A. (G) 33. Ankudinovas A. 3. Badmus O. 10. Diawara H. 17. Dumalakas M. 95. Elivelton 29. Jurgelevicius D. 24. Shults K. 23. Skurdelis A. (C) 7. Smulkys E. 11. Zubauskas D.
Substitutes
4. Dilys M. 2. Gleveckas D. 9. Jusys A. 77. Laimikis L. 25. Lukosevicius I. 12. Valius L. (G)	74. Herman S. 8. Hevlych T. 15. Jermolajev E. 89. Komza D. (G) 34. Kurakinas A. 27. Laukzemis K. 69. Omokhoa D. 9. Rusys M. 21. Saimon 19. Trakselis A. 42. Vaitkus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
9', 0 - 1, Zubauskas D. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Zubauskas D. ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, Zubauskas D. ⚽,
31', 0 - 4, Zubauskas D. ⚽,
34', Pusnys M. ↓, Lukosevicius I. ↑,
34', Karvatskyi A. ↓, Jusys A. ↑,
34', Misiunas R. ↓, Laimikis L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 1 - 4, Dzinga E. (Pen),
68', 🟨,
85', 2 - 4, ⚽,
87', 2 - 5, Hevlych T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 2.

Panevėžys 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neptūnas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Neptūnas is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
22.06.25	Babrungas Plungė - Panevėžys 2	4:2 ✺
17.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Transinvest - Panevėžys 2	7:0 ✺
02.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
22.06.25	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	1:3 ✺
13.06.25	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.08.24	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	4:3
17.03.24	Panevėžys 2 - Neptūnas	0:0
06.09.23	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	2:2
16.04.23	Panevėžys 2 - Neptūnas	1:0
12.08.22	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	1:2
03.04.22	Panevėžys 2 - Neptūnas	0:2
06.07.21	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	3:4

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