Match Info

I Lyga - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Panevėžys 2		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.72
	4.16	3.74	1.73
	6.74	5.10	1.35	Watch
	4.11	3.74	1.7
	3.35	3.7	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.4)	4 ↑ (3.65)	1.68 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
21%

Draw
23.4%

Minija Kretinga
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

24.9%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panevėžys 2's form might have worsened.

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minija Kretinga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panevėžys 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minija Kretinga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Minija will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Valius L. (G) 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 9. Jusys A. 97. Karvatskyi A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. (C) 25. Lukosevicius I. 21. Pusnys M. 30. Slobodian A. 210. Vaicekauskas D. 45. van den Bos M.	2. Gaudiesius V. (G) 12. Baya T. 70. Cisse M. 15. Diawara M. 25. Gunji K. 23. Jankauskas J. 7. Kasparavicius J. 21. Kazlauskas V. (C) 5. Kirjanov E. 6. Sidibe M. A. 9. Velyvis M.
Substitutes
13. Bukel D. (G) 31. Butkus A. 14. Kulbis R. 77. Laimikis L. 22. Muraska G. 29. Okpanachi J.	27. Aziz Romba A. 43. Diawara B. 3. Jakumas L. 19. Keblys M. 11. Putvinas A. 30. Sabitu T. 29. Sangare M. 37. Takei R. 1. Tek D. A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Diawara M. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Kasparavicius J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 3, Cisse M. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
80', 0 - 4, ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 0.

Panevėžys 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Minija has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Minija could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
22.09.25	FA Šiauliai B - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Panevėžys 2 - Jonava	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLT
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
19.09.25	Minija Kretinga - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Ekranas - Minija Kretinga	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.25	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	2:0
08.11.24	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	1:1
21.06.24	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:3
07.10.23	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	4:1
22.05.23	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:2
09.07.22	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	2:1
21.03.22	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:0

Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide