Match Info

I Lyga - Round 22

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Panevėžys 2		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.4
	2.22	3.5	2.62	Watch
	2.19	3.65	2.79
	2.19	3.49	2.92	Watch
	2.18	3.54	2.79
	2.32	3.47	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.43)	3.53 ↓ (3.73)	2.64 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
40.2%

Draw
25.6%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

23.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Panevėžys 2 (1.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Panevėžys 2 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hegelmann 2 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bukel D. (G) 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 19. Fedoruk B. 97. Karvatskyi A. 25. Lukosevicius I. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 22. Muraska G. 29. Okpanachi J. 21. Pusnys M. 30. Slobodian A.	31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 80. Gedziunas S. (C) 35. Giedraitis T. 88. Janusa K. 71. Jonavicius E. 25. Keliauskas K. 66. Kukta P. 19. Pasilys D. 98. Pastukas J. 60. Sendzikas M. 26. Slendzoka D.
Substitutes
31. Butkus A. 45. Enoch G. 9. Jusys A. 77. Laimikis L. 12. Valius L. (G)	8. Armalas A. 20. Jonaitis L. 37. Morkunas R. (G) 59. Polujanski A. 42. Sinkevicius R. 16. Spycius A. 23. Zukovskis J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Janusa K. ⚽,
31', Lukosevicius I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 11).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Panevėžys 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Panevėžys 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
22.08.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Ekranas - Panevėžys 2	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTLLW
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
23.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:5 ✺
09.08.25	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Ekranas	4:1 ✺
27.07.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:1
28.07.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:0
15.04.24	Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:2
21.11.23	Panevėžys 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1 ET

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