Match Info

Date: 1 March 2020, Sunday


	Panionios		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	7.5	4	1.4	Watch
	7.25	4.25	1.48	Watch
	6.1	4.3	1.44
	6.67	4.19	1.43
	6.67	4.55	1.44
	7	4.4	1.42	Watch
	7.2	4.45	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.91 ↑ (5.79)	4.31 ↑ (3.89)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panionios
13.5%

Draw
21.7%

AEK Athens
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

23.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

19.8%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panionios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	9.7%	83.9%

Panionios - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panionios
Greek Super League
23.02.20	Panetolikos - Panionios	1:0 ✺
15.02.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panionios	4:0 ✺
08.02.20	Panionios - Skoda Xanthi	0:0 ✺
02.02.20	Aris - Panionios	2:0 ✺
26.01.20	Panionios - Atromitos Athens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLW
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
23.02.20	AEK Athens - OFI	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
19.02.20	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	4:0 ✺
Greek Super League
16.02.20	Aris - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
09.02.20	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
05.02.20	Panetolikos - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
07.12.19	AEK Athens - Panionios	5:0
26.01.19	Panionios - AEK Athens	0:2
15.09.18	AEK Athens - Panionios	4:0
04.03.18	AEK Athens - Panionios	1:0
29.10.17	Panionios - AEK Athens	0:1
31.05.17	Panionios - AEK Athens	1:2
17.05.17	AEK Athens - Panionios	0:1

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