Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Dimotiko Stadio Serron (Serres)

Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports 2
Poland	SportKlub


	Panserraikos		Panetolikos

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.6	5	Watch
	1.72	3.56	5.2
	1.79	3.58	4.4	Watch
	1.7	3.25	5
	1.93	3.36	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.75)	3.51 ↑ (3.1)	4.8 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panserraikos
53.7%

Draw
26.7%

Panetolikos
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

31.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panserraikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panserraikos's performance.

Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panetolikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panserraikos than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panserraikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panetolikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	22.7%	0%

Panserraikos - Panetolikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Panserraikos will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panserraikos: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Panserraikos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Panserraikos (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Panserraikos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Tsompanidis A. (G) 19. Lyratzis L. 5. Gelashvili I. 30. Volnei 4. Karasalidis A. (C) 14. Tsaousis M. 6. Ben Sallam S. 8. Liasos A. 24. Doiranlis G. 9. Ivan A. 7. Riera A.	1. Pardalos M. (G) 15. Manrique C. 2. Granath G. 5. Mladen S. (C) 65. Apostolopoulos A. 18. Satsias G. 7. Smyrlis L. 77. Nikolaou E. 10. Matan A. 14. Aleksic K. 31. Garcia J.
Substitutes
11. Alex Teixeira 31. Armougom Y. 28. Brooks E. 81. De Marco V. 23. Georgiadis C. 80. Karelis N. 72. Marinos G. 17. Maskanakis A. 12. Riquelme 63. Rumyantsev V. 13. Sakalidis V. (G) 21. Sofianos M.	23. Agapakis G. 9. Aguirre J. 25. Badji Y. 8. Belevonis C. 30. Bregou A. 22. Esteban Diego 28. Kojic L. 70. Lenny Lobato 35. Mavrias Ch. 71. Michalak K. 16. Sielis C. 12. Zivkovic Z. (G)
Coaches
Zaragoza G.	Anastasiou G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽, Aleksic K. (A),
35', Tsaousis M. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
38', Garcia J. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
41', Satsias G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Karasalidis A. ↓, Karelis N. ↑,
46', Doiranlis G. ↓, Rumyantsev V. ↑,
46', Ben Sallam S. ↓, Maskanakis A. ↑,
50', Liasos A. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Volnei ⚽, Karelis N. (A),
68', Matan A. ↓, Bregou A. ↑,
68', Smyrlis L. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
74', Aleksic K. 🟨,
76', Gelashvili I. 🟨,
76', Satsias G. ↓, Agapakis G. ↑,
77', Aleksic K. ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
79', Maskanakis A. 🟨,
79', Riera A. ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 1.

Panserraikos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Panetolikos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Panserraikos: Kalinin I. (Red Card) Omeonga S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Panetolikos: Garcia U. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Panserraikos won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Panserraikos won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Panetolikos: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Panetolikos	5	3	0	2	8:7	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Panetolikos - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.48%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panserraikos FC
Greek Super League
12.05.26	Asteras Tripolis - Panserraikos	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Panserraikos - AE Kifisia	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Panserraikos - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	AEL Larissa - Panserraikos	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Panserraikos - Atromitos Athens	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTWL
- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
12.05.26	Panetolikos - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Atromitos Athens - Panetolikos	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Panetolikos - AE Kifisia	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	AE Kifisia - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
18.04.26	Panetolikos - Panserraikos	2:3
22.03.26	Panetolikos - Panserraikos	0:0
08.12.25	Panserraikos - Panetolikos	0:1
22.05.25	Panetolikos - Panserraikos	1:0
23.04.25	Panserraikos - Panetolikos	1:1
22.12.24	Panserraikos - Panetolikos	0:0
31.08.24	Panetolikos - Panserraikos	3:0

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