Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 17

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paraguarí		Deportivo Capiatá

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.00	2.30
	2.88	2.92	2.38
	2.95	2.84	2.40
	3.23	3	2.34	Watch
	2.90	2.75	2.35
	2.98	2.88	2.40
	2.85	2.90	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (2.97)	2.9 ↓ (3.21)	2.36 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguarí
30.7%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Capiatá
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

27.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguarí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraguarí than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Paraguarí - Deportivo Capiatá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Oviedo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Ayala J. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Deportivo Capiatá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paraguarí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36:35	1	38
12	Dep. Capiata	27	6	11	10	31:37	-6	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguarí AC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - Paraguarí	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Paraguarí - Independiente Asuncion	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	Fernando de la Mora - Paraguarí	2:2 ✺
03.07.26	Paraguarí - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	3 de Noviembre - Paraguarí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLT
- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
20.07.26	Tacuary - Deportivo Capiatá	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Atlético Tembetary	1:3 ✺
06.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.04.26	Deportivo Capiatá - Paraguarí	3:1

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