Match Info

Copa Paraguay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Paraguay	19:30	Tigo Sports
Usa	18:30	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Luqueño		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	2.90
	2.18	3.15	2.9	Watch
	2.19	3.3	3
	2.17	3.37	3.03	Watch
	2.06	3.15	2.9
	2.19	3.22	2.93	Watch
	2.18	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.23)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
41.6%

Draw
27.9%

Deportivo Recoleta
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 28. Balbuena A. 24. Beltran S. 14. Benitez F. (C) 10. Bogado G. 23. Cantero A. 20. Maggi I. 8. Maiz A. 21. Ojeda M. 7. Pereira K. 6. Wiechniak F.	13. Toledo O. (G) 17. Baez W. 36. Ferreira B. 38. Franco A. 21. Garay C. 33. Gonzalez A. 5. Marotta N. 25. Martino R. 15. Medina B. 32. Monzon L. 18. Rios P.
Substitutes
18. Bobadilla F. 37. Comas L. 5. Diaz J. 40. Espinola A. (G) 30. Franco T. 26. Lopez O. 15. Maldonado S. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 29. Muro T. 31. Paredes Filippini J. 19. Perez M. 25. Ramos J.	20. Canete M. 30. Charpentier P. 7. Dominguez R. 6. Espinola J. 12. Ferreira N. (G) 8. Galeano F. 28. Mendoza L. 23. Nunez J. 4. Pereira M. 10. Silva A. 24. Vidal T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Wiechniak F. 🟥,
24', Pereira K. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
27', Medina B. 🟨,
32', Rios P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Garay C. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
56', Medina B. ↓, Galeano F. ↑,
56', Rios P. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
60', Beltran S. ↓, Muro T. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Martino R. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
70', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
72', Maiz A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
73', Baez W. ↓, Canete M. ↑,
77', Monzon L. ↓, Mendoza L. ↑,
78', Marotta N. 🟨,
85', Muro T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueño has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.3:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Luqueño against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 0.8:0.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Luqueño - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.28%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Recoleta - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.10.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
18.10.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:3 ✺
05.10.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
01.10.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLLW
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.10.26	2 de Mayo - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1 ✺
16.10.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
12.10.26	Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
20.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0
11.04.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1
13.02.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2
07.11.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño	2:3
23.08.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0
20.05.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0
16.03.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1

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