Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres (Luque)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sportivo Luqueño		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.40	1.75	Watch
	3.75	3.30	1.80
	3.70	3.40	1.91	Watch
	4.10	3.51	1.92
	3.85	3.45	1.94	Watch
	4.05	3.45	1.89
	4.09	3.57	1.84	Watch
	3.80	3.25	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.25)	3.42 ↑ (3.18)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
23.6%

Draw
26.9%

Libertad Asuncion
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.7%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Libertad Asuncion will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (C) 4. Morales L. 3. Brizuela A. 6. Wiechniak F. 23. Cantero A. 10. Bogado G. 21. Ojeda M. 8. Maiz A. 11. Ruiz O. 25. Ramos J. 20. Maggi I.	12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Benitez A. 3. Rojas R. 5. Flores G. 4. Gimenez N. 6. Campuzano A. (C) 8. Carrizo F. 24. Villalba R. 28. Fernandez M. 11. Vera E. 26. Ramirez I.
Substitutes
28. Balbuena A. 24. Beltran S. 14. Benitez F. 37. Comas L. 5. Diaz J. 40. Espinola A. (G) 9. Gonzalez W. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 29. Muro T. 22. Ocampos S. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M.	9. Aguilar G. 13. Bogarin J. 31. Fernandez T. 23. Freire N. 14. Fretes A. 1. Gonzalez A. (G) 7. Manzur A. 33. Martinez C. 27. Molinas A. 21. Sanabria L. 34. Villalba E.
Coaches
Lopez R.	Valdez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Maiz A. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Gimenez N. ⚽, Campuzano A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramos J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
46', Ojeda M. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
46', Rojas R. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
46', Ramirez I. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
50', Pereira K. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Fernandez M. ⚽,
64', Villalba R. ↓, Manzur A. ↑,
64', Ruiz O. ↓, Balbuena A. ↑,
72', Cantero A. ↓, Muro T. ↑,
72', Maggi I. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
75', Fernandez M. ↓, Bogarin J. ↑,
76', Carrizo F. 🟨,
85', Vera E. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
90+2', Fretes A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.

Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Libertad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 11:39. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.9:2.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Libertad Asuncion	13	8	2	3	21:14	7	26
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Libertad Asuncion - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.13%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4 ✺
26.07.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.08.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
10.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:3
07.03.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0
13.09.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:4
05.07.25	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1
11.05.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:0
28.02.25	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0
Copa Paraguay
13.11.24	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0

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