Match Info

Date: 1 September 2020, Tuesday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.87	3.1	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.65
	2.5	2.75	2.85	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.9
	2.71	2.88	3.1
	2.55	2.8	3
	2.6	2.94	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.39)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	2.94 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
35.9%

Draw
32.7%

Ponte Preta
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

31.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

22.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paraná Clube Curitiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	72.5%	15%

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Paraná will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 72.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 58.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Recent matches Paraná is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte Preta in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Paraná won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
29.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
18.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2 ✺
14.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Juventude	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
29.08.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.08.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.20	Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
18.08.20	Osasco Sporting - Ponte Preta	1:3 ✺
14.08.20	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.09.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ponte Preta	1:1
25.05.19	Ponte Preta - Paraná Clube Curitiba	4:2
30.09.14	Ponte Preta - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:2
27.05.14	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ponte Preta	1:2
Copa do Brasil
06.05.14	Ponte Preta - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 penalties
22.04.14	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ponte Preta	1:1

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