Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 20

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)


	Ponte Preta		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.9	3
	2.48	2.8	3.05
	2.59	2.87	3.35
	2.25	2.88	3
	2.48	2.95	3.18	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.65)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	3.11 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
38.1%

Draw
32.1%

Vitória Salvador
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caique Franca (G) 23. Weverton 27. Fabio Sanches (C) 3. de Morae E. R. G. 15. Artur 5. Leo Naldi 20. Matheus Jesus 8. Filipinho 10. Elvis 9. Pereira Silva E. C. 90. Andre Felipe	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 5. Yan Souto 3. Joao Victor 4. Wagner Leonardo (C) 2. Railan 21. Rodrigues E. 8. Gege 6. Marcelo Nunes 7. Mateus Goncalves 11. Matheuzinho 9. Leo Gamalho
Substitutes
4. Euller 22. Everton . Felipe Amaral 18. Fraga 77. Igor Torres 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 14. Luiz Felipe 2. Mailton 16. Paulo Baya 40. Ramon 17. Samuel 13. Thomas	10. Giovanni Augusto 19. Iury Castilho 14. Jhonny Lucas 17. Jose Hugo 15. Leo Gomes 13. Marco Antonio 16. Thiago Lopes 12. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 18. Welder 20. Wellington Nem 22. Zeca
Coaches
Pintado	Conde L.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 0.

Ponte Preta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Jean Carlos (Injury) Jeh (Injury) Mateus Silva (Red Card) Pablo Dyego (Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Dionisio (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.07.23	CA Juventus - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Ponte Preta - EC Primavera	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.07.23	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Ponte Preta - Juventude	0:0 ✺
15.07.23	Ponte Preta - Tombense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
24.07.23	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Vitória Salvador - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
10.07.23	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.04.23	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	3:0
30.10.21	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	0:0
20.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	1:0
20.11.20	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	0:0
14.08.20	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	3:3
27.10.19	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	1:2
27.07.19	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	2:1

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