Match Info

Date: 20 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Lopez D. (Bra)


	Ponte Preta		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.9	3
	2.5	2.8	3.05
	2.38	2.9	3.05
	2.5	2.97	3.39
	2.45	2.88	3.1
	2.39	3	3.14
	2.4	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 (2.43)	2.91 ↑ (2.75)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
38.3%

Draw
31.9%

CS Alagoano
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

33.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	19.4%	8.3%

Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). CSA will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 57.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 3.

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSA is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently CSA have a series of home games.

Ponte Preta will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Everton (Injury) Fabinho (Injury) Fessin (Injury) Ramon Carvalho (Injury)

There will not play in CSA: Cedric (Injury) Clayton (Injury) Ernandes (Injury) Lucas Barcelos (Injury) Werley (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
15.10.22	Tombense - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
03.10.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
28.09.22	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	1:4 ✺
23.09.22	Londrina - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLLW
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.22	CS Alagoano - Londrina	0:1 ✺
07.10.22	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
30.09.22	CS Alagoano - Guarani	1:2 ✺
26.09.22	CS Alagoano - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	0:1
29.09.21	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	2:1
30.06.21	Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano	2:1
28.11.20	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	2:1
21.08.20	Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano	2:1
12.10.18	CS Alagoano - Ponte Preta	1:2
19.06.18	Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano	1:1

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