Match Info

Date: 29 August 2020, Saturday


	Vitória Salvador		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.35	2.65	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.5
	2.33	2.86	3.66
	2.25	2.88	3.5
	2.3	3.02	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)	2.85 ↓ (2.96)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
40.2%

Draw
32.4%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

31.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

21.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paraná Clube Curitiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paraná is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Paraná have a series of home games.

Vitória will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Copa do Brasil
26.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	3:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.20	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
19.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
14.08.20	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	3:3 ✺
11.08.20	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTTT
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Copa do Brasil
26.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
18.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2 ✺
14.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Juventude	3:1 ✺
11.08.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.11.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	0:0
10.08.19	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.18	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	1:1
18.07.18	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0
Copa do Brasil
19.04.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Vitória Salvador	0:0
13.04.17	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.15	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1

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