The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pardubice 29%
Draw 26.6%
Baník Ostrava 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.4%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
27.4%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pardubice's form might have worsened.
Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baník Ostrava's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pardubice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Pardubice - Baník Ostrava Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Baník Ostrava (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Pardubice (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Kharatishvili L. (G) 12. Tredl J. 4. Simek D. 43. Noslin J. 25. Mahuta R. 24. Solil T. (C) 18. Misek S. 31. Lexa M. 90. Botos G. 9. Smekal D. 35. Samuel V.
30. Holec D. (G) 34. Bewene A. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 19. Lischka D. 15. Kpozo P. 80. Kricfalusi O. 14. Jaron P. 18. Planka D. 5. Boula J. 2. Havran M. 29. Pira J.
Substitutes
44. Bammens S. 17. Krobot L. 3. Lurvink L. 8. Patrak V. 38. Reil M. 77. Saarma R. 16. Sancl F. 1. Serak J. (G) 26. Simek S. 28. Tanko A. 10. Vecheta F.
77. Almasi L. 9. Buchta D. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 37. Chalus M. 41. Kubny M. (G) 31. Munksgaard A. 55. Musak A. 25. Owusu D. 6. Pojezny K. 44. Sehic E. 4. Tiehi C.
Coaches
Polach T.
Galasek T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Misek S. ⚽, Botos G. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Planka D. ⚽, Havran M. (A),
38', Havran M. ↓, Buchta D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Samuel V. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
46', Mahuta R. ↓, Saarma R. ↑,
49', Jaron P. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Boula J. ⚽, Jaron P. (A),
66', Lexa M. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
66', Botos G. ↓, Patrak V. ↑,
67', Kricfalusi O. ↓, Tiehi C. ↑,
67', Bewene A. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Buchta D. ⚽, Boula J. (A),
74', Tredl J. 🟨,
76', Pira J. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
77', Planka D. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
79', Solil T. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Sancl F. ⚽, Vecheta F. (A),
90+1', 3 - 3, Smekal D. ⚽, Tanko A. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Noslin J. ↓, Lurvink L. ↑,
91', Boula J. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
108', Vecheta F. 🟨,
111', 3 - 4, Buchta D. ⚽, Kpozo P. (A),
120+5', Musak A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 0.
In recent matches, Pardubice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Baník Ostrava is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Pardubice has had a series of home games.
Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Darmovzal D.
(Injury)
Konecny M.
(Broken ankle)
Masek D.
(Injury)
Surzyn M.
(Red Card)
Vacek K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Holzer D.
(Knee Injury)
Kohut M.
(Health problems)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
Plavsic S.
(Groin Injury)
Rusnak M.
(Health problems)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 1.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).