The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 34.3%
Draw 27.7%
Paredes 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
27.3%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paços de Ferreira's form might have worsened.
Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paredes's recent form is better than expected.
Paços de Ferreira - Paredes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Figueiredo C. (G) 85. Castro D. 33. Rafael (C) 43. Joao Sidonio 15. Dias L. 8. Cunha N. 19. Castro T. 80. Caio Rafael 7. Cardoso N. 99. Platiny 96. Fale M.
31. Matos F. (G) 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. (C) 44. Gustavo Fernandes 13. Vigario J. 6. Val B. 10. Rodrigues D. 8. Silva D. 7. Miguel 14. Erik 11. Almara F.
Substitutes
34. Anunciacao J. 29. Cerveira T. 3. Diegao 2. Mesquita T. 28. Nascimento D. 20. Queiroz T. 1. Rafa (G) 11. Sacra 37. Vulpe I.
30. Canario F. 24. Edu 16. Goncalves T. (G) 23. Macedo Z. 78. Ruca 26. Santos Outeiro D. 29. Vasco Rocha 21. Veiga D. 84. Yuk J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Miguel 🟨,
4', Rafael 🟨,
5', 🟨,
27', Cunha N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Araujo P. 🟨,
59', Miguel ↓, Yuk J. ↑,
67', Vigario J. ↓, Santos Outeiro D. ↑,
67', Rodrigues D. ↓, Canario F. ↑,
69', Cardoso N. ↓, Queiroz T. ↑,
73', Santos Outeiro D. 🟨,
75', Platiny 🟨,
76', 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Canario F. ⚽,
80', Castro T. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
80', Caio Rafael ↓, Sacra ↑,
87', Almara F. ↓, Macedo Z. ↑,
87', Erik ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
90+1', Joao Sidonio ↓, Nascimento D. ↑,
90+2', Castro D. 🟨,
Preview
Paredes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Paços de Ferreira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).