Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Paris FC		Nancy

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	6	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.75
	1.57	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.56	3.8	5.4
	1.61	3.86	6.37
	1.57	3.6	6
	1.6	3.88	6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)	3.78 ↑ (3.44)	5.9 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
59.2%

Draw
24.8%

Nancy
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

22.2%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	15.2%	18.2%

Paris FC - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Nancy will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Paris FC has the most likely position - 6 (8.42%), has project points - 56, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (27.55%), has project points - 35, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
24.09.21	Niort - Paris FC	4:1 ✺
21.09.21	Paris FC - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Sochaux - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
14.09.21	Ajaccio - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Paris FC - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
24.09.21	Nancy - Amiens	1:1 ✺
21.09.21	Grenoble - Nancy	4:1 ✺
18.09.21	Nancy - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Dunkerque - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.21	Swift Hesperange - Nancy	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTT?

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.01.21	Nancy - Paris FC	1:1
19.09.20	Paris FC - Nancy	0:2
29.11.19	Nancy - Paris FC	2:0
11.01.19	Nancy - Paris FC	1:2
03.08.18	Paris FC - Nancy	2:0
04.05.18	Paris FC - Nancy	2:1
15.12.17	Nancy - Paris FC	0:1

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