Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Ajaccio		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.88
	4	3.3	1.95	Watch
	4.27	3.37	1.96
	4.06	3.37	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.91
	4.11	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.18)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
23.1%

Draw
28.1%

Paris FC
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

27%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

Ajaccio - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Paris FC will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 23. Strata T. 31. Ayessa J. 88. Bamba A. 20. Youssouf M. (C) 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 43. Kouassi A. 11. Toure B. 25. Anziani J. 22. Soumano M. 9. Ibayi C.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 6. Soumahoro A. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. 17. Camara A. 29. Hamel P. 11. Krasso J. 7. Gory A.
Substitutes
4. Barreto M. 2. Campanini T. 21. Chegra I. 27. Kante A. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 99. Santelli B. 5. Vidal C.	12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 27. Gaudin J. 19. Kante M. 10. Kebbal I. 20. Lopez J. 1. Riou R. (G)
Coaches
Chabert M.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Strata T. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Barreto M. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Marchetti V. ⚽,
60', Soumano M. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
67', Hamel P. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
81', Toure B. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
81', Ayessa J. ↓, Vidal C. ↑,
82', Vidal C. 🟨,
85', Soumahoro A. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
86', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
90+3', Lopez M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Krasso J. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3.

Ajaccio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paris FC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ajaccio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Huard M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Knee Injury) Chergui S. (Knock) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Pembele A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Touzghar Y. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
03.12.24	Ajaccio - Bastia	0:0 ✺
25.11.24	Dunkerque - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.24	Les Herbiers - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
08.11.24	Ajaccio - Clermont	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Ajaccio - Metz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
23.11.24	Paris FC - Annecy	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.24	Paris FC - Quevilly	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
09.11.24	Pau - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Paris FC - Rodez	3:3 ✺
29.10.24	Amiens - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0
23.09.23	Ajaccio - Paris FC	2:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Paris FC - Ajaccio	1:2
French Ligue 2
07.02.22	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0
14.09.21	Ajaccio - Paris FC	1:0
08.05.21	Ajaccio - Paris FC	1:1
08.01.21	Paris FC - Ajaccio	1:1

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