Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	FuboTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, FuboTV, Tubi TV
World	Fanatiz


	Paris FC		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.87
	2.45	3.1	2.95
	2.59	3.12	3.02
	2.51	3.18	2.97	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.53	3.25	2.84	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.19)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.93 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
37.9%

Draw
29.9%

Guingamp
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris FC's form might have worsened.

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Paris FC - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 27. Gaudin J. 8. Doucet L. 21. Lopez M. 17. Camara A. 10. Kebbal I. 20. Lopez J. 12. Dicko N.	16. Basilio E. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 7. Gomis D. 18. Nair S. 6. Vallier L. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 11. Sagna A. 13. Hemia A. 10. Picard H. 9. Labeau B.
Substitutes
51. Elliott K. 7. Gory A. 29. Hamel P. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G) 18. Sissoko O. 6. Soumahoro A.	21. Ghrieb R. 24. Lemonnier P. 23. Luvambo T. 2. Maronnier L. 30. Niasse B. (G) 26. Riou M. 17. Siwe J.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Gaudin J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sagna A. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
50', Vallier L. 🟨,
59', Picard H. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
59', Sidibe K. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
60', Lopez J. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
71', Dicko N. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Kebbal I. (Pen),
78', Louiserre D. ↓, Riou M. ↑,
82', Lopez M. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
82', Gaudin J. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
83', Sissoko A. ↓, Maronnier L. ↑,
84', Hemia A. 🟨,
90+6', Tourraine M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.

Recent matches Paris FC is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guingamp is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Bastia - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Paris FC - Metz	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Clermont - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Paris FC - Dunkerque	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWW
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Guingamp - Annecy	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Rodez - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Guingamp - Red Star	3:4 ✺
23.08.24	Laval - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Guingamp - Troyes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Paris FC - Guingamp	2:1
02.12.23	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1
04.03.23	Paris FC - Guingamp	1:2
13.08.22	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:0
19.02.22	Guingamp - Paris FC	1:1
11.09.21	Paris FC - Guingamp	0:1
24.04.21	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:0

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