Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Welch R. (Eng)


	Paris Saint-Germain		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	1.98
	3	3.8	2.05
	3.21	3.81	2.07
	3.1	3.4	2.1
	3.18	3.78	2.08
	3	3.8	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.23)	3.68 ↑ (3.39)	2.06 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
30%

Draw
25.1%

Wolfsburg
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolfsburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolfsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	12.5%	70.8%

Paris Saint Germain - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wolfsburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wolfsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wolfsburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches PSG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
French Division 1 Women
12.03.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	4:0 ✺
Coupe De France Women
04.03.23	Bordeaux - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 penalties ✺
French Division 1 Women
26.02.23	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
05.02.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France Women
28.01.23	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- VfL Wolfsburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
17.03.23	Wolfsburg - Turbine Potsdam	5:0 ✺
12.03.23	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	1:4 ✺
04.03.23	Wolfsburg - TSG Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
28.02.23	Köln - Wolfsburg	0:4 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
12.02.23	SGS Essen - Wolfsburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
26.04.15	Paris Saint-Germain - Wolfsburg	1:2
18.04.15	Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2

Paris Saint-Germain - Wolfsburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide