Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 4

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)


	Parma		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	5	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4.75
	1.88	3.49	4.71
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.83	3.52	4.4	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.64)	3.44 ↓ (3.7)	4.79 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
53%

Draw
27.3%

Reggiana
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

24%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Parma - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 3. Osorio Y. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 14. Ansaldi C. 7. Benedyczak A. 8. Estevez N. 10. Bernabe A. 27. Hernani 28. Mihaila V. 13. Bonny A.	22. Bardi F. (G) 17. Libutti L. 4. Rozzio P. 19. Romagna F. 31. Sampirisi M. 42. Bianco A. 30. Vergara A. 90. Portanova M. 77. Kabashi E. 23. Pettinari S. 10. Lanini E.
Substitutes
4. Balogh B. 11. Begic T. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 77. Di Chiara G. 20. Hainaut A. 61. Haj Anas M. 63. Motti F. 21. Partipilo A. 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.	28. Antiste J. 8. Cigarini L. 5. Da Riva J. 15. Fiamozzi R. 80. Girma N. 11. Gondo C. 24. Nardi F. 3. Pieragnolo E. 12. Satalino G. (G) 1. Sposito A. (G) 25. Szyminski P. 7. Varela Djamanca M.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Nesta A.

Preview

Parma in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Reggiana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Parma to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Parma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
29.08.23	Pisa - Parma	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Parma - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Parma - FeralpiSalò	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.23	Bari - Parma	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Elche - Parma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
29.08.23	Reggiana - Palermo	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Como - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Cittadella - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Monza - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Reggiana - Pescara	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.05.17	Parma - Reggiana	1:0
19.12.16	Reggiana - Parma	0:2

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