Match Info

Serie A - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab


	Atalanta		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.39	4.95	7.9	Watch
	1.4	5	8.61
	1.42	4.69	7.62	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.45	4.91	8.05
	1.4	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.74 ↓ (4.79)	7.88 ↑ (7.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
67.8%

Draw
20.1%

Parma
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.9%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.1%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Parma aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	12.1%	15.2%

Atalanta - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Parma (6.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Atalanta (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Parma (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 69. Ahanor H. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 59. Zalewski N. 17. De Ketelaere C. 18. Raspadori G. 9. Scamacca G.	40. Corvi E. (G) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 22. Sorensen O. 8. Estevez N. 16. Keita M. 27. Britschgi S. 10. Bernabe A. 7. Benedyczak A.
Substitutes
47. Bernasconi L. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 3. Kossounou O. 90. Krstovic N. 11. Lookman A. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.	11. Almqvist P. 67. Casentini G. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 30. Djuric M. 61. Drobnic D. 76. Mikolajewski D. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 9. Pellegrino M. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 14. Valeri E.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 2 - 0, De Roon M. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Benedyczak A. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
46', Circati A. ↓, Valeri E. ↑,
46', Estevez N. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
46', Djimsiti B. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
53', Scamacca G. 🟨,
60', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
60', Zalewski N. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,
64', Sorensen O. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
72', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Raspadori G. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
78', De Roon M. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
85', Keita M. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.

Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Parma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atalanta is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Bellanova R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Almqvist P. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Atalanta: 0.79% Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.01.26	Pisa - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Atalanta - Torino	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Bologna - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Atalanta - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWW
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Lecce - Parma	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Parma - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.08.25	Parma - Atalanta	1:1
25.05.25	Atalanta - Parma	2:3
23.11.24	Parma - Atalanta	1:3
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Parma - Atalanta	4:1
Italian Serie A
09.05.21	Parma - Atalanta	2:5
06.01.21	Atalanta - Parma	3:0
28.07.20	Parma - Atalanta	1:2

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