The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atalanta 64.9%
Draw 20.8%
Parma 14.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.1%
20.5%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.7%
18.9%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Atalanta - Parma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 19th in the Relegation - Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.
In recent outings, Atalanta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Parma has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Atalanta enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:25 (averaging 2.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atalanta against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 21:9 goals (averaging 2.3:1 per game).