Match Info

Serie A - Round 14

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
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Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
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Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
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Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Pisa		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	3	Watch
	2.58	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.56	3.01	3.29
	2.51	2.99	3.19	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
	2.63	3.09	3.21
	2.54	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.46)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)	3.12 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
37.3%

Draw
32.2%

Parma
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

32.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	76.7%	11.6%

Pisa - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 76.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.1% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 13 - 86.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Scuffet S. (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 15. Toure I. 6. Marin M. 20. Aebischer M. 36. Piccinini G. 3. Angori S. 9. Meister H. 18. Nzola M.	40. Corvi E. (G) 27. Britschgi S. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 5. Valenti L. 14. Valeri E. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 8. Estevez N. 7. Benedyczak A. 17. Ondrejka J. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
14. Akinsanmiro E. 39. Albiol R. 94. Bonfanti G. 16. Buffon L. 26. Coppola F. 19. Esteves T. 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 47. Mateus Lusuardi 32. Moreo S. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 1. Semper A. (G) 10. Tramoni M. 21. Vural I.	11. Almqvist P. 19. Begic T. 70. Conde B. 25. Cremaschi B. 32. Cutrone P. 30. Djuric M. 13. Guaita V. (G) 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 63. Trabucchi N.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Benedyczak A. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Benedyczak A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Angori S. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
46', Marin M. ↓, Akinsanmiro E. ↑,
49', Valeri E. 🟨,
59', Ondrejka J. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
68', Aebischer M. 🟨,
75', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
75', Benedyczak A. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
76', Piccinini G. ↓, Lorran ↑,
76', Calabresi A. ↓, Moreo S. ↑,
82', Toure I. 🟨,
84', Meister H. ↓, Tramoni M. ↑,
90+2', Oristanio G. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
90+3', Nzola M. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 1.

Recent performances by Pisa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Parma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Pisa: Mateus Lusuardi (Knee Injury) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Circati A. (Leg Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury) Troilo M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Pisa: Akinsanmiro E. (Shoulder Injury) Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Esteves T. (Thigh Injury) Vural I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Pisa - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Pisa - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	2:2 ✺
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Torino - Pisa	2:2 ✺
30.10.25	Pisa - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWTT
- FC Parma
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Verona - Parma	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Parma - Milan	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Parma - Bologna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.02.24	Parma - Pisa	3:2
29.08.23	Pisa - Parma	1:2
28.02.23	Parma - Pisa	0:1
08.10.22	Pisa - Parma	0:0
22.02.22	Pisa - Parma	0:0
26.09.21	Parma - Pisa	1:1
Coppa Italia
12.08.18	Parma - Pisa	0:1

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