Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Firhill Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: Stirling C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	PTFC TV, Raith TV


	Partick Thistle		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.30	3.75
	1.88	3.20	3.60
	1.90	3.45	3.90	Watch
	1.98	3.35	4.07
	1.94	3.41	3.93	Watch
	1.95	3.30	4.00
	1.95	3.48	3.95	Watch
	1.96	3.25	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	3.88 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
48.2%

Draw
27.8%

Raith Rovers
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Partick will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Raith will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Raith (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. McFarlane L. (G) 24. McPherson B. 22. Loughrey C. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 3. Reading P. 6. Dempsey B. 8. Smyth O. 7. Drozd S. 10. Henderson E. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 9. Samuel A.	1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 6. Baird J. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 3. Delaney Z. 25. Montagu K. 14. Adamson C. 11. Robertson J. 15. Tiffoney S. 18. McMullan P. 9. Oakley G.
Substitutes
1. Budinauckas L. (G) 14. Crawford R. 17. Ingram E. 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 20. O'Reilly D. 26. Stanway B. 32. Watt T.	13. Armstrong L. (G) 20. Brown S. 23. Easton D. 5. Fordyce C. 7. Lyall A. 16. Stevenson L. 8. Turner K.
Coaches
Wilson M.	Imrie D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', McMullan P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Montagu K. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
56', Robertson J. ↓, Lyall A. ↑,
64', Smyth O. 🟨,
64', Adamson C. ↓, Easton D. ↑,
69', Henderson E. ↓, Mackay-Steven G. ↑,
75', Drozd S. ↓, Watt T. ↑,
75', Dempsey B. ↓, Stanway B. ↑,
80', McPherson B. ↓, Ingram E. ↑,
90', Lyall A. 🟨,
90+2', Oakley G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Quarter~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 2.

Partick has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Raith shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Partick is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Partick has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:27 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Partick against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Raith: 15.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Raith	9	5	2	2	13:6	7	17
3	Partick Thistle	8	4	3	1	8:2	6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Partick Thistle - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.82%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
15.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Inverness - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hibernian - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWTTL
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
12.09.26	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
24.03.26	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	0:2
20.12.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0
25.10.25	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	2:0
30.08.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	3:2
21.03.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0
15.02.25	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	3:0
09.11.24	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	1:1

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