Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Pastoreo		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.78
	5.15	3.9	1.52
	5.56	4.18	1.47
	13.40	6.36	1.18	Watch
	5.3	3.84	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.63 ↑ (5.49)	4.34 ↑ (3.86)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pastoreo
14.4%

Draw
22%

Cerro Porteño
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

23.2%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

22.2%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pastoreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pastoreo - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pastoreo (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cerro Porteño will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pastoreo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cerro Porteño (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Amarilla L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Carrizo F. ⚽,
52', Marcelino J. 🟥,
79', 0 - 3, Aliseda I. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cerro Porteño is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
22.08.25	Sol de América - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Pastoreo - Fernando de la Mora	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Encarnación - Pastoreo	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Pastoreo - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Pastoreo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLT

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