Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 20

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Deportivo Capiatá		Pastoreo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.02	3.05	3.4
	2	3.11	3.57
	2.75	3.13	2.56	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.04	3.16	3.42
	2.16	3.13	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.24 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Capiatá
42%

Draw
29.8%

Pastoreo
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Capiatá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Pastoreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Deportivo Capiatá - Pastoreo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Gimenez A. 🟥,
36', 1 - 0, Paredes J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Pastoreo has had a series of home games.

Deportivo Capiatá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Capiatá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.07.25	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
11.07.25	Resistencia - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
30.06.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTWT
- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.07.25	Pastoreo - Guarani de Fram	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	River Plate Asunción - Pastoreo	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Pastoreo - Rubio Ñu	1:4 ✺
06.07.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Santaní	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.04.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0

Deportivo Capiatá - Pastoreo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide