The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Carapeguá 43.3%
Draw 26.4%
Resistencia 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.5%
27%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
25.9%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Resistencia aligns with the current prediction.
Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, Gomez J. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Diaz F. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 9th).
Carapeguá has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Resistencia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Carapeguá has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:5 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carapeguá against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Watch
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