Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 7

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Guaireña		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	2.36	3	2.9
	2.45	3.05	2.94
	2.51	3.03	2.79	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.47	2.96	2.72
	2.36	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.29)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
37.9%

Draw
30.5%

Sportivo Carapeguá
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-2%)

Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Calabrese B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: ) and 6).

Guaireña is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Carapeguá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Guaireña - Sol de América	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Fernando de la Mora - Guaireña	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Guaireña - Encarnación	3:1 ✺
04.04.25	12 de Junio - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TWWWL
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Sol de América - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLTT

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