Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Patacona		Utiel

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.73
	3.9	3.7	1.74
	3.62	3.79	1.83
	3.92	3.7	1.84
	3.9	3.7	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (5.58)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	1.78 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Patacona
23.9%

Draw
24.7%

Utiel
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

25.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

24.5%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patacona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patacona's performance.

Utiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patacona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patacona - Utiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Patacona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Utiel is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Utiel is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patacona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Patacona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.03.25	Patacona - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Patacona	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Patacona - Soneja	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Patacona - Torrellano	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Patacona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWLLT
- CD Utiel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.03.25	Utiel - Levante B	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	La Nucía - Utiel	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Utiel - Benidorm	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Utiel	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Utiel - Roda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.11.24	Utiel - Patacona	1:1
04.02.24	Patacona - Utiel	1:0
17.09.23	Utiel - Patacona	3:1

Upcoming Matches