Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: BG Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Pathum United		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.78
	2.29	3.65	2.75
	2.24	3.65	2.82	Watch
				Watch
	2.34	3.41	2.86	Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.8)	3.54 ↓ (4.13)	2.72 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
39.7%

Draw
26.2%

Pohang Steelers
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

22.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

22.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pathum United's performance.

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pohang Steelers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pathum United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pohang Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Pathum United - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pathum United will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Pohang will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pathum United: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 1 - 50%). Pohang (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Pathum United (1.70) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pohang (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bogdanovic S. (G) 15. Drincic M. 16. Sandokhadze N. (C) 69. N'Diaye S. 3. Ose T. 8. Panya E. 5. Kaman K. 17. Notsuda G. 13. Wonggorn J. 95. Matheus Fornazari 23. Emaviwe J.	1. Yun Pyeong-Gook (G) 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 5. Aspropotamitis J. 3. Lee Dong-Hee (C) 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 18. Kang Hyeon-Je 88. Kim Dong-Jin 6. Kim Jong-Woo 66. Lee Chang-Woo 10. Baek Sung-Dong 11. da Rocha Junior J.
Substitutes
28. Anuin S. (G) 89. Buaphan C. 81. Choolthong W. 14. Doi T. 22. James N. 2. Nonthasila S. 50. Pruetong T. 33. Sangvilay P. 9. Sareepim S. 18. Songkrasin C. 55. Tamma C. 21. Tiatrakul S.	20. An J. 25. Cha Jun-Young 12. Cho Jae-Hun 99. Cho Sang-Hyeok 22. Hong Ji-Woo 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 90. Kim Dong-Min 7. Kim In-Sung 91. Kwon Neung (G) 44. Lee Heon-Jae 15. Lee Kyu-Min 27. Park S.
Coaches
Komsilp S.	Park Tae-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Aspropotamitis J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Lee Dong-Hyeop ⚽, da Rocha Junior J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kaman K. ↓, Doi T. ↑,
57', Kang Hyeon-Je ↓, Cho Sang-Hyeok ↑,
57', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Kim In-Sung ↑,
59', Emaviwe J. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
59', Matheus Fornazari ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
60', Sareepim S. 🟨,
68', Baek Sung-Dong ↓, An J. ↑,
69', Panya E. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
75', Lee Chang-Woo ↓, Cho Jae-Hun ↑,
76', Kim Jong-Woo ↓, Hwang Seo-Woong ↑,
79', Wonggorn J. ↓, Pruetong T. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
12.09.25	Uthai Thani - Pathum United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bangkok United - Pathum United	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Pathum United - Lamphun Warriors	2:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
20.08.25	Pathum United - Cong An Ha Noi	2:1 ✺
Thai League 1
16.08.25	Prachuap - Pathum United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWT
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
13.09.25	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Anyang - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Pohang Steelers - Gwangju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWWW

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