Match Info

K League 1 - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gangwon		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.80
	2.05	3	3.55
	2.17	3.15	4.05
	2.07	3.15	3.8	Watch
	2.15	3.03	4.01
	2.23	3.26	3.37	Watch
	2.11	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.14)	3.11 ↑ (2.95)	3.7 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
44.5%

Draw
30.1%

Pohang Steelers
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	36.4%	0%

Gangwon - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gangwon: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 27. Kim Do-Hyun 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 26. Cho W. 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 70. Sekidika J. 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 7. Kim Dae-Won	29. Hong Sung-min (G) 77. Wanderson 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 20. Park Chan-Yong 2. Eo Jeong-Won 16. Kim Dong-Jin 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 31. Nishiya K. 7. Won Ki-Jong 18. Cho Sang-Hyeok 70. Hwang Seo-Woong
Substitutes
51. Cho Min-Kyu (G) 77. Hleihel A. 14. Kang Y. 9. Kim Gun-Hee 8. Lee Seung-Won 5. Mammar Chaouche A. 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 24. Park H. 47. Shin Min-Ha	11. da Rocha Junior J. 5. Jin Si-woo 25. Jorge Teixeira 37. Jung Han-Min 13. Kang Min-Jun 36. Kim H. 8. Kim Seung-Ho 14. Lee Chang-Woo 1. Yun Pyeong-Guk (G)
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Park Tae-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Cho W. ↓, Mo Jae-Hyeon ↑,
36', Wanderson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
62', Cho Sang-Hyeok ↓, Jorge Teixeira ↑,
62', Ki Sung-Yueng ↓, Kim Seung-Ho ↑,
67', Hwang Seo-Woong ↓, da Rocha Junior J. ↑,
78', Won Ki-Jong ↓, Kang Min-Jun ↑,
82', Tuci M. ↓, Park H. ↑,
82', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
82', Sekidika J. ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
85', Hleihel A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gangwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gangwon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangwon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
9	Pohang	31	11	7	13	28:37	-9	40

Last Results with these Odds

Pohang Steelers - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.25%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
26.08.26	Gangwon - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWWL
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
25.08.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Bucheon - Pohang Steelers	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Jinju Citizen	3:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
05.05.26	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:1
28.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Gangwon	1:0
30.11.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0
31.08.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0
01.06.25	Pohang Steelers - Gangwon	2:1
23.02.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	2:1
23.11.24	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0

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