Match Info

K League 1 - Round 22

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Russia	TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pohang Steelers		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.40	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.05
	3.85	3.51	2.1
	3.52	3.36	2.07	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2.08
	3.22	3.39	2.24	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.35)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	2.1 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
27.1%

Draw
28.2%

Ulsan HD
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pohang Steelers's form might have worsened.

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulsan HD's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pohang Steelers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulsan HD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	58.3%	25%

Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Ulsan will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Hong Sung-min (G) 5. Jin Si-woo 20. Park Chan-Yong (C) 36. Kim H. 13. Kang Min-Jun 8. Kim Seung-Ho 16. Kim Dong-Jin 77. Wanderson 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 10. Tranziska J. 7. Won Ki-Jong	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 4. Seo Myung-Guan 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 33. Jang Si-Young 6. Bojanic D. 55. Oude Kotte T. 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 11. Erick Farias
Substitutes
18. Cho Sang-Hyeok 2. Eo Jeong-Won 22. Gwang-won K. 37. Jung Han-Min 3. Kim Ye-Sung 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 14. Lee Chang-Woo 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 1. Yun Pyeong-Guk (G)	72. Baek In-Woo 17. Kang Sang-Woo 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 8. Lee H. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 27. Pedrinho 13. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 77. Sim Sang-Min 99. Yago Cariello
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Kim Hyun-seok

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Lee Gyu-Seong ↑,
53', Bojanic D. ↓, Yago Cariello ↑,
63', Erick Farias ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
63', Jang Si-Young ↓, Sim Sang-Min ↑,
63', Hwang Seo-Woong ↓, Ki Sung-Yueng ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Seo Myung-Guan ⚽, Lee Dong-Gyeong (A),
67', 0 - 2, Yago Cariello ⚽, Lee Gyu-Seong (A),
71', Tranziska J. ↓, Gwang-won K. ↑,
71', Kim H. ↓, Cho Sang-Hyeok ↑,
73', Jung Seung-Hyun ↓, Lee Jae-Ik ↑,
84', Kim Seung-Ho ↓, Lee Chang-Woo ↑,
84', Kim Dong-Jin ↓, Eo Jeong-Won ↑,
90+3', Jo Hyeon-Woo 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 3.

Pohang is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ulsan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pohang won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
9	Pohang	31	11	7	13	28:37	-9	40

Last Results with these Odds

Pohang Steelers - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Pohang Steelers - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
02.08.26	Ulsan HD - Anyang	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	FC Seoul - Ulsan HD	1:3 ✺
21.07.26	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.05.26	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	0:1
13.09.25	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	1:1
05.05.25	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	1:1
29.03.25	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	1:0
South Korean Cup
30.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	3:1 ET
South Korean K-League 1
27.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:2
31.08.24	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	5:4

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