Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports, Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
South-america	ViX Latin America
World	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.75	Watch
	2.3	2.6	3.6
	2.45	2.65	3.6	Watch
	2.41	2.62	3.94
	2.37	2.6	3.87
	2.25	2.7	3.5
	2.35	2.73	3.66	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.43)	2.68 ↓ (2.72)	3.69 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
39.7%

Draw
34.9%

Atlético Bucaramanga
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

34.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

33.7%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patriotas: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 20. Ruiz D. 5. Rodas M. 28. Garcia J. 25. De Las Salas C. 4. Alarcon A. (C) 34. Victoria Palacios D. S. 9. Rodriguez J. 19. Borja C. 10. Viveros J. 22. Londono F.	1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 6. Jimenez M. S. 2. Mena J. (C) 25. Zapata C. 8. Hinestroza F. 26. Mena Perea E. 22. Fabry 27. Colorado J. 10. Sambueza F. 9. Ponce A.
Substitutes
2. Arce J. 13. Aristizabal Juan 23. Bello Vivas S. E. 6. Diaz J. 27. Melendez A. 7. Moreno S. 1. Roman S. (G)	70. Castaneda F. 28. Flores L. 30. Micolta Piedahita J. 99. Rangel M. 23. Romana C. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 5. Vasquez L.
Coaches
Rivera H.	Dudamel R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
37', Colorado J. 🟨,
45+4', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Londono F. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
49', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
51', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
53', Ponce A. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
55', Colorado J. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Flores L. ⚽, Mena Perea E. (A),
68', Jimenez M. S. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Moreno S. ⚽,
78', Sambueza F. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
81', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Aristizabal Juan ↑,
90', Castaneda F. 🟨,
90+1', Viveros J. 🟨,
90+1', Garcia J. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Zapata C. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Patriotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Patriotas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
07.09.24	Patriotas - Envigado	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Millonarios - Patriotas	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
19.08.24	Patriotas - Once Caldas	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Atlético Nacional - Patriotas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTWL
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
01.09.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima	0:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
28.08.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.08.24	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
25.04.24	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:3
10.04.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	3:0
Colombian Primera A
03.03.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	3:0
23.10.22	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:4
07.05.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	1:1
18.07.21	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2
05.04.21	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	0:1

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